29. May 2022

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Lawfare

A Somali Danab soldier patrols near Wanla Weyn, Somalia on July 22, 2019. Photo credit: U.S. Navy Photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Patrick W. Mullen III/ Released.

Editor’s Note: Al-Shabaab, the al-Qaeda-aligned militant group in Somalia, has a strong presence throughout the country and, in recent years, has increased its efforts to target the United States. Tricia Bacon of American University assesses how recent U.S. military and counterterrorism changes are likely to affect al-Shabaab and argues that they will hinder the group but not fundamentally shift the balance in the country. Negotiations, she argues, should at least be considered despite their real risks.

Daniel Byman

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In May, Somalia gained a new president as well as a bolstered U.S. commitment to counterterrorism against al-Qaeda’s strongest affiliate, al-Shabaab. On May 15, Hassan Sheikh Mohamud was elected president for the second time, returning to the office he held from 201

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